How to learn to make informed decisions

How to learn to make informed decisions
How to learn to make informed decisions

Video: How to make informed decisions 2024, June

Video: How to make informed decisions 2024, June
Anonim

People tend to make mistakes, which is why they devote so much time in order to avoid these mistakes. But what to rely on in the art of making the right decisions: on intuition, past experience, or other collected data?

Instruction manual

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We often make mistakes in our lives and make decisions that we have to regret. Often this translates into unnecessary waste, lost time and a bad mood. No one will be able to avoid errors to the end; according to statistics, people make the wrong decisions with about the same probability as the right ones. But with the help of fairly simple techniques, you can better look at your decisions and analyze them.

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What is the reason for making the wrong decisions? Often it is created due to the so-called "spotlight effect". A person directs his attention to only one side of the problem and draws his opinion only about those facts that are clearly visible to him. He does not go into details, does not understand the problem deeply, does not see its other sides and does not look at the problem from a different angle. It is as if he is snatching out pieces of a puzzle from the darkness. In this case, it is impossible to solve the problem correctly, or it will be done with a high percentage of errors.

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In order to make more informed decisions on a specific issue, you need to consider the problem from all sides, and with impartiality and honesty, regardless of how you relate to its negative sides. A deeper consideration of the issue will eliminate the possible risks of failure and, accordingly, increase the percentage of successful decisions.

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In the event that you have to choose the best one from several options, prefer to have a large number of various solutions to the problem for selection. Usually people want to minimize variability as much as it is difficult for them to make decisions with many variables. But this is the problem: when only one or two options are at stake, the probability of error is very high. By weighing several ideas or solutions to a problem in your mind, you are more likely to notice errors or deficiencies in one of them.

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Step away from the way to solve the problem or choose an option, look at them differently, as if you really need to quickly find the right path. Usually people from the very beginning give preference to any one option and do not allow themselves to think wider. Think about whether this method will be so good in the future that it will help change for you in 10 hours, 10 months, and even 10 years. This is especially good for global solutions that will have an impact over the years.

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Often the cause of wrong decisions is people's overconfidence in their rightness. Do not allow this in your behavior, otherwise you will have to face frequent mistakes. It’s better to assume that you can make a mistake and think about the problem once again by checking the next solution. It is not worthwhile to pre-evaluate the adverse outcomes of the situation - do not let the wrong decision catch you by surprise.